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2015 — 2022年山东省威海市女性乳腺癌主要流行特征及疾病负担分析

Epidemiological characteristics and disease burden of breast cancer among women in Weihai, Shandong, 2015 − 2022

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析山东省威海市女性乳腺癌主要流行特征和疾病负担变化趋势,为制定乳腺癌的防控措施提供参考依据。
    方法 利用山东省肿瘤监测报告系统中2015 — 2022年威海市居民恶性肿瘤监测数据和同期人口资料,计算女性乳腺癌发病率、患病率、死亡率、早死损失寿命年(years of life lost,YLL)率、伤残损失寿命年(years lived with disability,YLD)率、伤残调整寿命年(disability adjusted of life years,DALY)率及相应的调整率,采用Joinpoint Regression Program 4.9.1.0软件计算率的年度变化百分比,并分析女性乳腺癌主要流行特征及疾病负担变化情况。
    结果 2015 — 2022年威海市女性乳腺癌粗发病率为50.25/10万 ~ 79.80/10万,调整率为31.93/10万 ~ 49.03/10万;粗患病率为137.13/10万 ~ 499.03/10万,调整率为85.90/10万 ~ 276.37/10万;粗死亡率为8.40/10万 ~ 12.21/10万,调整率为5.45/10万 ~ 7.52/10万,粗发病率、粗患病率及相应的调整率的上升均有统计学意义(t = 8.205、t = 21.681、t = 5.705、t = 20.219,均P < 0.05)。乳腺癌发病率总体以45 ~ 54岁年龄组最高,除0 ~ 24岁年龄组外,发病率随年龄增长而升高。其中45 ~ 54岁、55 ~ 64岁、≥ 75岁年龄组发病率的上升均有统计学意义(t = 7.133、t = 4.962、t = 4.248,均P < 0.05)。2015 — 2022年威海市女性乳腺癌DALY率为1.76‰ ~ 2.30‰,调整率为1.29‰ ~ 1.65‰;YLL率为1.28‰ ~ 1.75‰,调整率为0.87‰ ~ 1.28‰;YLD率为0.44‰ ~ 0.67‰,调整率为0.31‰ ~ 0.46‰,其中YLD率和调整率均呈上升趋势且有统计学意义(t = 6.876、t = 5.313,均P < 0.05)。DALY率总体以45 ~ 54岁年龄组最高;45 ~ 54岁、55 ~ 64岁年龄组的YLD率以及≥75岁年龄组的YLD率、YLL率均呈上升趋势且有统计学意义(t = 7.283、t = 4.793,t = 4.072、t = 4.273,均P < 0.05)。
    结论  威海市女性乳腺癌年度粗发病率和YLD率均呈上升趋势,更多是非人口因素作用的结果。年度死亡率和健康负担总体保持稳定。高龄女性面临着乳腺癌发病率和死亡率双升高的威胁,应作为乳腺癌筛查项目的重点关注人群,并根据环境及行为生活方式方面的乳腺癌危险因素有针对性地开展科普宣传和健康教育。持续升高的患病率加重了患者、家庭和社会的经济负担,是导致疾病负担加重的主要原因,应进一步研究降低与医疗活动有关经济支出的有效方式。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To understand the main epidemiological characteristics and disease burden trends of breast cancer among women in Weihai of Shandong Province, and provide a reference for the development of prevention and control measures for breast cancer.
    Methods Utilizing the monitoring data of malignant tumorsand population data in Weihai from 2015 to 2022, the incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate, years of life lost (YLL) rate, years lived with disability (YLD) rate, disability-adjusted life years (DALY) rate, and their respective adjusted rates of breast cancer were calculated. The Joinpoint Regression Program 4.9.1.0 software was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) in rates, and the main epidemiological characteristics and changes in disease burden were analyzed.
    Results From 2015 to 2022, the crude incidence rate of breast cancer among women in Weihai fluctuated from 50.25 to 79.80 per 100 000, with an adjusted rate of 31.93 to 49.03 per 100 000. The crude prevalence rate fluctuated from 137.13 to 499.03 per 100 000, with an adjusted rate of 85.90 to 276.37 per 100 000. The crude mortality rate fluctuated from 8.40 to 12.21 per 100 000, with an adjusted rate of 5.45 to 7.52 per 100 000. The increases in the crude incidence rate, crude prevalence rate, and their respective adjusted rates were statistically significant (t = 8.205, t = 21.681, t = 5.705, t = 20.219, all P < 0.05). The overall incidence rate of breast cancer was highest in the 45 − 54 age group, with an increase in incidence with age, except for the 0 − 24 age group. The increases in incidence rates in the 45 − 54, 55 − 64, and 75 and above age groups were statistically significant (t = 7.133, t = 4.962, t = 4.248, all P < 0.05). The DALY rate for breast cancer among women in Weihai fluctuated from 1.76‰ to 2.30‰ during 2015 − 2022, with an adjusted rate of 1.29‰ to 1.65 ‰; the YLL rate fluctuated from 1.28‰ to 1.75‰, with an adjusted rate of 0.87‰ to 1.28‰; the YLD rate fluctuated from 0.44‰ to 0.67‰, with an adjusted rate of 0.31‰ to 0.46‰. Both the YLD rate and the adjusted rate was statistically significant (t = 6.876, t = 5.313, all P < 0.05). The DALY rate was highest in the 45 − 54 age group; the YLD rates of the 45 − 54 and 55 − 64 age groups, as well as the YLD rate and YLL rate of the 75 and above showed an increasing trend and were statistically significant differences (t = 7.283,t = 4.793, t = 4.072, t = 4.273, all P < 0.05).
    Conclusion The annual crude incidence rates and YLD rates of breast cancer among women in Weihai showed an increasing trend, which was most due to non-demographic factors. The annual mortality and health burden remained generally stable. Advanced age women are facing the threat of both rising incidence and mortality of breast cancer and should be the focus of breast cancer screening program. According to environmental and behavior lifestyle risk factors of breast cancer, targeted public health education and health promotion should be conducted. The continuously increasing prevalence has increased the economic burden on patients, families, and society, which is the main reason for the increasing disease burden. Further research is needed to find effective ways to reduce economic expenditure related to medical activities.

     

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